Publications and Presentations

My google scholar page.

Publications

Misono, S. & Nguyen-Feng, VN & Lei, X. & Feddema, E. & Tella, A. & Stockness, A. & Frazier, PA &  Kummerfeld, E. & Lim, KO. (2025) Ecological Momentary Assessment of Voice & Psychological Factors: Group & Individual Mechanisms. The Laryngoscope, August. https://doi.org/10.1002/lary.70049. Open Access

Kummerfeld, E. & Williams, L. & Wang, Y. & Peters, ST & Schmidt, E & DuFresne-To, M. & Bernlohr, D. & Robbins, P. & Ikramuddin, S. & Adeyi, O. & Laux, L. & Barthel, G. & Johnson, S. & Wang, J. & Niedernhofer, L. & Nelson, A. & Aliferis, C. (2025) Artifacts in spatial transcriptomics data: their detection, importance, prevalence, and prevention. Briefings in Bioinformatics, Volume 26, Issue 4, July 2025, bbaf306, https://doi.org/10.1093/bib/bbaf306 Open Access

Sahin-Ilikoglu, T. & Ma, S. & Kummerfeld, E. & Rawls, E & Tan, HY & Toulopoulou, T.  (2025). Causal discovery analysis reveals insights into psychosis proneness, brain function, and environmental factors among young individuals. Psychiatry Res Neuroimaging. 2025;351: 112015. DOI Link 

Anker, J. & Andrews, B. & Kummerfeld, E. & Thuras, P. & Kushner, MG (2025). Correlational and causal modeling of alcohol-related symptoms and internalizing disorder status: Further elucidation of a harm paradox. Alcohol Clin Exp Res (Hoboken). doi:10.1111/acer.70075 Open Access

Niklason, GR & Maxwell, AM & Brucar, LR & Ostrand, C. & Kummerfeld, E. & Luciana, M. & Zilverstand, AM (2025). “Environmental, Health, and Psychological Factors Predict Alcohol Sipping in Childhood: A Machine Learning Analysis of the ABCD Study.” JAACAP Open 0 (0). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaacop.2025.04.007. Open Access

Bronstein, MV & Kummerfeld, E. & Bearden, CE & Cornblatt, BA & Walker, EF, Woods SW, Mathalon D.,  & Perkins, D. & Cadenhead, KS & Addington, J. & Cannon TD & Vinogradov, S. (2025) Delineating empirically plausible causal pathways to suicidality among people at clinical high risk for psychosis. J Psychopathol Clin Sci. 2025 Apr;134(3):239-250. doi: 10.1037/abn0000969. PMID: 39913476. Link

Tseng, A. & Francis, SM & Rawls, E. & Conelea, C. & Grissom, NM & Kummerfeld, E. & Ma, S. & Jacob, S. (2025) Integrating causal discovery and clinically-relevant insights to explore directional relationships between autistic features, sex at birth, and cognitive abilities. Psychol Med. 2025;55: e89. Open Access

Banerjee, R. & Andrews, B. & Kummerfeld, E. (Preprint) An extensive simulation study evaluating the interaction of resampling techniques across multiple causal discovery contexts. arXiv. Preprint

Ma, S. & Morris, M.C. & Hubal, M.J. & Ross, L.M. & Huffman, K.M. & Vann, C.G. & Moore, N. & Hauser, E.R. & Bareja, A. & Jiang, R. & Kummerfeld, E. & Barberio, M.D. & Houmard, J.A. & Bennett, W.B. & Johnson, J.L. & Timmons, J.A. & Broderick, G. & Kraus, V.B. & Aliferis, C.F. & Kraus, W.E. (2025). Sex-Specific Skeletal Muscle Gene Expression Responses to Exercise Reveal Novel Direct Mediators of Insulin Sensitivity Change. NAR Mol Med. 2025;2: ugaf010. Open Access

Knaeble, B. & Kummerfeld, E. (forthcoming). Temporal discontinuity trials and randomization: success rates versus design strength. Epidemiologic Methods. Preprint

Bronstein, M. & Kummerfeld, E. & MacDonald III, A. & Vinogradov, S. (2024). Identifying psychological predictors of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination: A machine learning study. Vaccine, 42(21), 126198. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.126198 PubMed

Kummerfeld, E. & Lim, J. & Shi, X. (2024). Data-driven Automated Negative Control Estimation (DANCE): Search for, Validation of, and Causal Inference with Negative Controls. Journal of Machine Learning Research 25(229):1−35. Open Access

Andrews, B. & Kummerfeld, E. (preprint). Better Simulations for Validating Causal Discovery with the DAG-Adaptation of the Onion Method. Arxiv.

Bronstein, M. & Meyer-Kalos, P. & Vinogradov, S. & Kummerfeld, E. (2024). Causal discovery analysis: a promising tool for precision medicine. Psychiatric Annals. 54(4):e119–e124. Link

Kummerfeld, E. & Andrews, B. & Ma, S. (2024). Foundations of Causal ML. In: Simon, G.J., Aliferis, C. (eds) Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in Health Care and Medical Sciences. Health Informatics. Springer, Cham. Open Access

Kummerfeld, E. & Andrews, B. (2024). Beyond integrative experiment design: Systematic experimentation guided by causal discovery AI. Behavioral and Brain Sciences. 2024;47:e52. Link

Andrews, B. & Ramsey, J. & Sanchez-Romero, R. & Camchong, J. & Kummerfeld, E. (2023). Fast Scalable and Accurate Discovery of DAGs Using the Best Order Score Search and Grow-Shrink Trees. Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS) 2023. Preprint Official

Rawls, E. & Andrews, B. & Lim, K.O. & Kummerfeld, E. (2023). Causal Discovery for fMRI data: Challenges, Solutions, and a Case Study. UAI 2023 Workshop: The History and Development of Search Methods for Causal Structure. PDF.

Rawls, E. & Gilmore, C. & Kummerfeld, E. & Lim, K.O. & Nienow, T. (2023). A Computational Framework for EEG Causal Oscillatory Connectivity Reveals tDCS-Induced Connectivity Changes. Proceedings of the 2023 Causal Analysis Workshop Series, PMLR 223:40-51. PDF

Anderson, L. & Lim, K. & Kummerfeld, E. & Crosby, R. & Crow, S. & Engel, S. & Forrest, L. & Wonderlich, S. & Peterson, C. (2023). Causal Discovery Analysis: A Promising Tool in Advancing Precision Medicine for Eating Disorders. The International journal of eating disorders56(11), 2012–2021. https://doi.org/10.1002/eat.24040 Open Access
* Featured in a podcast: Bodywhys Episode 32

Camchong, J. & Roediger, D. & Fiecas, M. & Gilmore, C. & Kushner, M. & Kummerfeld, E. & Mueller, B.Lim, K. (2023). Frontal tDCS reduces alcohol relapse rates by increasing connections from left dorsolateral prefrontal cortex to addiction networks. Brain stimulation16(4), 1032–1040. Link

Kummerfeld, E. & Williams, L. & Ma, S. (2023) Power Analysis for Causal Discovery. International Journal of Data Science and Analytics. Open Access

Lee, K. & Kummerfeld, E. & Robinson, E. & Anderson, L. & Rantz, M. (2023). Data-Driven Analytics to Discover APRN’s Impact on Nursing Home Hospitalization: Causal Discovery Analysis. Journal of the American Medical Directors Association. Link

Kummerfeld, E. & Jones, G. (2023). One Data Set, Many Analysts: Implications for Practicing Scientists. Frontiers in Psychology, 14, 487. Open Access

Pierce, B. & Kirsh, T. & Ferguson, A.R. & Neylan, T.C. & Ma, S. & Kummerfeld, E. & Cohen, B.E. & Nielson, J.L. (2023). Causal discovery replicates symptomatic and functional interrelations of posttraumatic stress across five patient populations. Frontiers in Psychiatry, 13, 3102. Open Access

Sun, J. & Peng, L. & Li, T. & Adila, D. & Zaiman, Z. & Melton-Meaux, G. B. & Ingraham, N. E. & Murray, E. & Boley, D. & Switzer, S. & Burns, J. L. & Huang, K. & Allen, T. & Steenburg, S. D. & Gichoya, J. W. & Kummerfeld, E.* & Tignanelli, C. J.* (2022). Performance of a Chest Radiograph AI Diagnostic Tool for COVID-19: A Prospective Observational Study. Radiology. Artificial intelligence4(4), e210217. Free Access
*contributed equally as senior authors to this manuscript.

Niklason, G.R. & Rawls, E. & Ma, S. & Kummerfeld, E. & Maxwell, A.M. & Brucar, L.R. & Drossel, G. & Zilverstand, A. (2022) Explainable machine learning analysis reveals sex and gender differences in the phenotypic and neurobiological markers of Cannabis Use Disorder. Sci Rep 12, 15624. Open Access

Stevenson, B.L. & Kummerfeld, E. & Merrill, J.E. & Blevins, C. & Abrantes, A.M. & Kushner, M.G. & Lim, K.O. (2022) Quantifying heterogeneity in mood–alcohol relationships with idiographic causal models. Alcoholism: Clinical and Experimental Research, 00, 1– 12. Open Access

Rawls, E. & Kummerfeld, E. & Mueller, B.A & Ma, S. & Zilverstand, A. (2022). The Resting-State Causal Human Connectome is Characterized by Hub Connectivity of Executive and Attentional Networks. NeuroImage, 255, 119211. Open Access

Bronstein, M.V. & Everaert, J. & Kummerfeld, E. & Haynos, A.F. & Vinogradov, S. (2022). Biased and inflexible interpretations of ambiguous social situations: Associations with eating disorder symptoms and socioemotional functioningInternational Journal of Eating Disorders554), 518– 529SSRN

Bronstein, M.V. & Kummerfeld, E. & MacDonald III, A. & Vinogradov, S. (2022). Willingness to Vaccinate Against SARS-CoV-2: The Role of Reasoning Biases and Conspiracy Theories. Vaccine, 40(2), 213–222. SSRN

Kummerfeld, E. & Woolf, T. & Glad, W. & Sebag, M. & Ma, S. (2021) Important Topics in Causal Analysis: Summary of the CAWS 2021 Round Table Discussion. Proceedings of The 2021 Causal Analysis Workshop Series, PMLR 160:52-54. Open Access

Stevenson, B. & Kummerfeld, E. & Merrill, J. (2021) Applying Causal Discovery to Intensive Longitudinal Data. Proceedings of The 2021 Causal Analysis Workshop Series, PMLR 160:20-29. Open Access 

Miley, K. & Meyer-Kalos, P. & Ma, S., & Bond, D., & Kummerfeld, E.* & Vinogradov, S.* (2021). Causal pathways to social and occupational functioning in the first episode of schizophrenia: Uncovering unmet treatment needs. Psychological Medicine, 1-9. doi:10.1017/S0033291721003780 Open Access
*contributed equally as senior authors to this manuscript.

Bhavnani, S.K. & Kummerfeld, E. & Zhang, W. & Kuo, Y. F. & Garg, N. & Visweswaran, S. & Raji, M. & Radhakrishnan, R. & Golvoko, G. & Hatch, S. & Usher, M. & Melton-Meaux, G. & Tignanelli, C. (2021). Heterogeneity in COVID-19 Patients at Multiple Levels of Granularity: From Biclusters to Clinical Interventions. AMIA Joint Summits on Translational Science proceedings. AMIA Joint Summits on Translational Science, 2021, 112–121. PMC

Musa, G.J. & Geronazzo-Alman, L. & Fan, B. & Cheslack-Postava, K. & Bavley, R. & Wicks, J. & Bresnahan, M. & Amsel, L., Fiano, E. & Saxe, G. & Kummerfeld, E. & Ma, S. & Hoven, C.W. (2021) Neighborhood characteristics and psychiatric disorders in the aftermath of mass trauma: A representative study of New York City public school 4th-12th graders after 9/11. J Psychiatr Res. 2021 Jun;138:584-590. doi: 10.1016/j.jpsychires.2021.05.002. Epub 2021 May 7. PMID: 33992981. Link

Kummerfeld, E. (2021) A simple interpretation of undirected edges in essential graphs is wrong. PLOS ONE 16(4): e0249415. Open Access

Rawls, E. & Kummerfeld, E. & Zilverstand, A. (2021) An Integrated Multimodal Model of Alcohol Use Disorder Generated by Data-Driven Causal Discovery Analysis. Commun Biol 4, 435. Open Access

Kummerfeld, E. & Ma, S. & Blackman, R.K. & DeNicola, A.L. & Redish, A.D. & Vinogradov, S. & Crowe, D.A. & Chafee, M.V. (2020) Cognitive control errors in nonhuman primates resembling those in schizophrenia reflect opposing effects of NMDAR blockade on causal interactions between cells and circuits in prefrontal and parietal cortex. Biological Psychiatry: Cognitive Neuroscience and Neuroimaging. 2020 Jul 1;5(7):705-14. Full Text

Tignanelli, C.J. & Rix, A. & Napolitano, L.M. & Hemmila, M.R. & Ma, S. & Kummerfeld, E. (2020) Adherence to Evidence-based Practices for Treatment of Patients With Traumatic Rib Fractures and Associated Mortality Rates Among US Trauma Centers. JAMA Netw Open. 2020;3(3):e201316. Full Text

Morris, R.S. & Milia, D. & Glover, J. & Napolitano, L.M. & Chen, B. & Lindemann, E. & Hemmila, M.R. & Stein, D. & Kummerfeld, E. & Chipman, J. & Tignanelli, C.J. (2020). Predictors of Elderly Mortality After Trauma: A Novel Outcome Score. Journal of Trauma and Acute Care Surgery, 88(3) pp. 416-424.

Kummerfeld, E. & Rix, A. (2019). Simulations evaluating resampling methods for causal discovery: ensemble performance and calibration. 2019 IEEE International Conference on Bioinformatics and Biomedicine (BIBM), San Diego, CA, USA, 2019, pp. 2586-2593. IEEE. Preprint.

Deckert, A. & Kummerfeld, E. (2019). Investigating the effect of binning on causal discovery. 2019 IEEE International Conference on Bioinformatics and Biomedicine (BIBM), San Diego, CA, USA, 2019, pp. 2574-2581. Preprint

Ma, S. & Kirsh, T. & Kummerfeld, E. & Fisher, M. & Schermitzler, B. & Vinogradov, S. (2019). Constructing Instrument Mapping Using Markov Boundary Techniques: A Case Study with Two Quality of Life Instruments. 2019 IEEE International Conference on Bioinformatics and Biomedicine (BIBM), San Diego, CA, USA, 2019, pp. 2594-2598.

Kummerfeld, E. & Rix, A. & Anker, J. & Kushner, M. (2019). Assessing the Collective Utility of Multiple Analyses On Clinical Alcohol Use Disorder Data. Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association. Preprint

Kummerfeld, E. & Anker, J. & Rix, A. & Kushner, M. (2018). Methodological Advances in the Study of Hidden Variables: A Demonstration on Clinical Alcohol Use Disorder Data. AMIA Annual Symposium proceedings. AMIA Symposium, 2018, 710-719. PDF

Anker, J. & Kummerfeld, E. & Rix, A. & Burwell, S. & Kushner, M. (2018). Causal Network Modeling of the Determinants of Drinking Behavior in Comorbid Alcohol Use and Anxiety Disorder. Alcoholism, Clinical and Experimental Research, October. Link
* Top Downloaded Paper in Alcoholism: Clinical and Experimental Research 2018-2019.

Redish, A.D., & Kummerfeld, E. & Morris, R.L., & Love, A.C. (2018). Opinion: Reproducibility failures are essential to scientific inquiry. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 115(20), 5042-5046. Open Access
* In the top 5% of all research outputs scored by Altmetric

Kummerfeld, E. & Ramsey, J. (2016). Causal Clustering for 1-Factor Measurement Models. In Proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, KDD ’16, pages 1655-1664, New York, NY, USA, 2016. ACM. PDF Video

Kummerfeld, E. & Zollman, K. (2015). Conservatism and the scientific state of nature. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science.  PDF
* BJPS Editor’s Choice: article is open access.

Kummerfeld, E. & Ramsey, J. & Yang, R. & Spirtes, P. & Scheines, R. (2014). Causal Clustering for 2-Factor Measurement Models. In T. Calders, F. Esposito, E. Hullermeier, and R. Meo, editors, Machine Learning and Knowledge Discovery in Databases, volume 8725 of Lecture Notes in Computer Science, pages 34-49. Springer Berlin Heidelberg. PDF

Kummerfeld, E. & Danks, D. (2014). Model change and methodological virtues in scientific inference. Synthese, 191(12), 2673-2693. PDF
-Erratum for Model change and methodological virtues in scientific inference. PDF

Kummerfeld, E. & Danks, D. (2013). Tracking time-varying graphical structure. In C.J.C. Burges, L. Bottou, M. Welling, Z. Ghahramani, & K.Q. Weinberger (Eds.), Advances in neural information processing systems 26. La Jolla, CA: The NIPS Foundation.  PDF

Peer-reviewed Conference Talks:

Kummerfeld, E. (2024) “What is causal discovery AI and what can it do to aid research on alcohol use disorder?” 47th Annual Research Society on Alcohol Scientific Meeting.

Stevenson, B. & Kummerfeld, E. & Merrill, J. (2021) “Applying Causal Discovery to Intensive Longitudinal Data.” CAWS 2021.

Kummerfeld, E. & Rix, A. (2019). Simulations evaluating resampling methods for causal discovery: ensemble performance and calibration. 2019 IEEE International Conference on Bioinformatics and Biomedicine (BIBM).

Kummerfeld, E. & Anker, J. & Rix, A. & Kushner, M. (2018) “Methodological Advances in the Study of Hidden Variables: A Demonstration on Clinical Alcohol Use Disorder Data.” American Medical Informatics Association 2018 Annual Symposium. Slides

Kummerfeld, E. & Cooper, G. (2017) “A New Method for Estimating Causal Model Learning Accuracy.” The 4th Workshop on Data Mining for Medical Informatics: Causal Inference for Health Data Analytics. Slides Paper

Kummerfeld, E. & Ramsey, J. & Yang, R. & Spirtes, P. & Scheines, R. (2014) “Causal Clustering for 2-Factor Measurement Models.” The European Conference on Machine Learning. Slides

Kummerfeld, E. & Danks, D. (2013) “Model Selection, Decision Making, and Normative Pluralism: Theory and Climate Science Application.” The 6th Munich-Sydney-Tilburg conference on Models and Decisions. Slides

Invited Talks:

Kummerfeld, E. (2024) “Better Simulations for Validating Causal Discovery with the DAG-Adaptation of the Onion Method”. Causal Discovery Webinar. Slides.

Kummerfeld, E. (2023) “One Data Set, Many Analysts: Implications for Practicing Scientists.” Mapping the Frontiers of Reproducibility.

Kummerfeld, E. (2023) “Statistical Validation for Disconnected Negative Control Models.” Understanding the Use of Negative Controls to Assess the Validity of Non-Interventional Studies of Treatment Using Real-World Evidence. Duke-Margolis Center for Health Policy, under cooperative agreement with the FDA. online.

Kummerfeld, E. (2020) “Methods for Using Observational Data to Answer Causal Questions.” Open Data Science Conference East 2020.

Kummerfeld, E. & Rix, A. (2019) “Evaluating Resampling Methods For Validating Data-Driven Causal Structures.” University of Minnesota, Institute for Research in Statistics and its Applications. Slides

Kummerfeld, E. (2017) “New Methods for Discovering Hidden Causes from Observational Data.” University of Minnesota, School of Statistics.

Kummerfeld, E. (2016) “Learning Latent Variable Causal Models.” University of Minnesota, Institute for Health Informatics.

Kummerfeld, E. (2015) “Latent Variable Discovery.” University of Pittsburgh, School of Medicine, Special Lecture for the Department of Biomedical Informatics.

Kummerfeld, E. (2014) “Model selection and normative pluralism in climate science.” Carnegie Mellon University, Invited Lecture for the Summer School in Logic and Formal Epistemology.

Conference Posters I’ve Presented:

Kummerfeld, E. & Ramsey, J. (2016). “Causal Clustering for 1-Factor Measurement Models.” The International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining

Kummerfeld, E. & Ramsey, J. & Yang, R. & Spirtes, P. & Scheines, R. (2014) “Causal Clustering for 2-Factor Measurement Models.” The European Conference on Machine Learning. Poster

Kummerfeld, E. & Danks, D. (2013) “Tracking time-varying graphical structure.” Neural Information Processing Systems. Poster

Kummerfeld, E. & Danks, D. (2012) “Online Learning of Time-varying Causal Structures.” Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence Causal Structure Learning Workshop.

Other Documents

Kummerfeld, E. (2020) “Causal Analysis Provides a Toolbelt, Not a Silver Bullet.” Blog post on ODSC. Link

Kummerfeld, E. (2016) “How To Use Factor Clustering Algorithms.” PDF

Public Engagement

Interviewed by Bodywhys in their podcast, Episode 32: Causal discovery analysis & precision medicine. The interview centered on topics from my publication, “Causal discovery analysis: A promising tool in advancing precision medicine for eating disorders”. The podcast is freely available online as of December 14, 2023. Apple. Spotify. Audacy. Podbay.